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We are six weeks into the new Premier League season in England, and the title race already looks like it might be one of the best around Europe.

It also seems like we have been blessed each match week with another massive contest that might ultimately end up deciding the league. This weekend, before the clubs go on international break for two weeks, it is one versus two in the table, as Liverpool hosts Manchester City in the last game of the weekend.
There was already a nasty rivalry between Liverpool and Manchester United, but now this has developed into another one, as Manchester City has bought its way to relevance over the last decade-plus.

Of course, there are nine other matches as well, and there are some that offer value to bettors, and some that look like you should stay away from even if you have free bets.

So here are three games to look at in the Premier League this weekend, with some plus-money plays and big favorites.

Saturday, Oct. 2

Brighton & Hove Albion (+195) v Arsenal (+150), draw (+225), O/U 2.5

Time and TV: 10:30 a.m. MDT/9:30 a.m. PDT (NBC and fubo.TV)

Brighton is one of six teams that sit on 13 points entering the weekend, and can make a large statement with a victory at the AMEX against the Gunners. Arsenal started very slowly, but has come on to win three in a row, including a 3-1 demolition of rivals Tottenham last weekend. I guess North London really is red.

This is a massive contest for both teams heading into the break, and there is value with any of the 1x2 bets you make here.

Prediction: Arsenal pick (-125) just to cover yourself if they draw, but you could be bold and take the Gunners on the moneyline (+150)

Sunday, Oct. 3

West Ham United (-105) v Brentford (+360), draw (+260), O/U 2.5

Time and TV: 7 a.m. MDT/6 a.m. PDT (Peacock)

One of the early games Sunday, this could be interesting as well, seeing how well Brentford played last week in the draw with Liverpool. West Ham is a very solid team, though, and Michail Antonio is back in the fold for this one.

Prediction: if you can get the Hammers here at near even money (-105) I think you have to back them in this home game.

Liverpool (+205) v Manchester City (+140), draw (+255), O/U 2.5

Time and TV: 9:30 a.m. MDT/8:30 a.m. PDT (NBCSN and fubo.TV)

No preview or prediction piece would be complete without looking at this game. But I have to say, it is a tough one to pick. City had to go to Paris on Tuesday in the UEFA Champions League, while Liverpool was in Porto.

There is so much value here whichever way you go, but I think I will take the home underdogs in this spot, with the more potent attack.

Prediction: I have to go with Liverpool moneyline with the +205 value, but you could also take the Reds at +0.25 at -118 and pick up some money if the teams draw.

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